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Anguilla no longer under tropical storm warning.

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8 am Sunday October 14th, 2012

...ANGUILLA IS NO LONGER UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING BUT REMAINS UNDER A FLASH FLOOD WARNING…

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANGUILLA.

AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.8 WEST. RAFAEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF RAFAEL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND RAFAEL COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY MONDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM ...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL... RAFAEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE CLOUDY TO OVERCAST SKIES WITH SHOWERS AND THE OCCASIONAL OUTBREAK OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER ANGUILLA TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME OF THE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MODERATE TO HEAVY WITH TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING OVER LOW LYING AREAS.
WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY.

Tropical Cyclone Warning
Advisory 7 – 14 October 2012
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS

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